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Policymakers also promised “before too long” a plan for their $4 trillion balance sheet, the minutes showed. The U.S. central bank surprised markets last month by suspending a three-year campaign to raise rates, saying it would be patient about making any adjustments to its target range for short-term interest rates, now at between 2.25 percent and 2.5 percent. A dovish Fed and progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations have helped the S&P 500 rise about 18 percent from its lows in December, when the market swooned on fears of an economic slowdown. The index is trading about 5 percent below the record closing high it hit in late September.
The rate-sensitive S&P financial index added to gains following the release of the minutes and ended up 0.6 percent, But the S&P materials index, up 1.7 percent, led percentage gains among the major 11 S&P sectors, boosted by gains in commodity 3d floppy disk cufflinks prices, Shares of CF Industries Holdings Inc, Mosaic Co and FreeportMcMoran rose, The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 63.12 points, or 0.24 percent, to 25,954.44, the S&P 500 gained 4.94 points, or 0.18 percent, to 2,784.7 and the Nasdaq Composite added 2.30 points, or 0.03 percent, to 7,489.07..
Investors also took in more news on the trade front, with President Donald Trump on Wednesday saying the United States would impose tariffs on European car imports if it cannot reach a trade deal with the European Union. On Tuesday, Trump said trade discussions with China were going well and suggested he was open to extending the deadline to complete the negotiations, saying March 1 was not a “magical” date. Southwest Airlines Co slipped 5.7 percent after the carrier said it would take a $60 million hit from the partial U.S. government shutdown.
(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve on Wednesday signaled they will soon lay out a plan to stop letting go of $4 trillion in 3d floppy disk cufflinks bonds and other assets, but policymakers are still debating how long their newly adopted “patient” stance on U.S, rates policy will last, For now, policymakers see little risk to leaving interest rates alone while they take time to assess rising risks, including a global slowdown, according to the Fed’s minutes from their Jan, 29-30 meeting, released on Wednesday..
Though “several” participants thought a rate increase would be necessary only if inflation unexpectedly surged, “several other participants indicated that, if the economy evolved as they expected, they would view it as appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate later this year.”. Those split views suggest that the central bank may not yet have ended its three-year campaign to raise interest rates, but has merely put it on an extended pause. In January the Fed surprised markets by saying it would be patient about adjusting its target range for short-term interest rates, now between 2.25 percent and 2.5 percent.
The surprisingly dovish decision came amid mounting risks to the U.S, economy, including slowing Chinese and European economies and waning stimulus from the 2018 U.S, tax cuts, A raft of Fed policymakers speaking since the Fed’s January pledge of patience have insisted the economy is in a good place, But doubts have remained, with traders in U.S, interest-rate futures placing increasing bets that the Fed will need to ease policy by early next year to counter a downturn, The tone of the minutes was “decidedly noncommittal,” 3d floppy disk cufflinks according to Ward McCarthy, an economist at Jefferies LLC..
Meanwhile, Fed policymakers do seem to have coalesced around a plan to leave their balance sheet permanently bigger than it ever was in the past, the minutes show. “Almost all participants thought that it would be desirable to announce before too long a plan to stop reducing the Federal Reserve’s asset holdings later this year,” the minutes said. The Fed absorbed government bonds and mortgages in the wake of the 2007-09 recession but policymakers began trimming those holdings in the final months of 2017.
Research staff presented options at the meeting for “substantially slowing” the runoff of the Fed’s balance sheet, “at some point over the latter half of this year.” The runoff is currently capped at $50 billion a month, Bob Miller, Head of U.S, Multi-Sector Fixed Income at BlackRock Inc, said he is now expecting a balance sheet plan from the Fed by the May meeting minutes, a decision on the matter by June and a halt to the Fed’s runoff by October, if not July, This will help U.S, financial conditions and markets, he said, “The fact is that the Committee has spent three consecutive policy meetings discussing the balance sheet in detail, and to us that suggests some urgency in addressing the questions 3d floppy disk cufflinks surrounding its future,” Miller said in a note..
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