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“Nobody I’ve talked to in the industry thinks the report won’t recommend tariffs” in view of the Trump administration’s stated trade priorities, said an automotive official who spoke on condition of anonymity. “And there’s not much chance that Trump decides not to impose them.”. Administration officials have said tariff threats on autos are a way to win concessions from Japan and the EU. Last year, Trump agreed not to impose tariffs as long as talks with the two trading partners were proceeding in a productive manner.

The Commerce Department alluded to a focus on emerging vehicle technologies when it opened the probe, A report from the well-respected Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor, Michigan, published on Friday showed that its worst-case scenario of a 25-percent tariff would cost 366,900 U.S, jobs in the auto and related industries, U.S, light duty thor hammer mjolnir cufflinks vehicle prices would increase by $2,750 on average — including U.S.-built vehicles — reducing annual U.S, sales by 1.3 million units and forcing many consumers to the used car market, the think tank’s report said..

Major automaker groups said last year that the cumulative effect for the United States would be an $83 billion annual price increase and argued that there is no evidence auto imports pose a national security risk. Canada and Mexico each won duty-free access to 2.6 million vehicles as part of a new North American free trade deal even if the administration moves ahead with the tariffs. Senator Rob Portman, an Ohio Republican, recently introduced legislation that would shift responsibility for Section 232 investigations from Commerce to the U.S. Defense Department. The law containing the provision was passed in 1962 to keep U.S. industries healthy to meet Cold War defense needs.

(Reuters) - Following are five big themes likely to dominate thinking of investors and traders in the coming week and the Reuters stories related to them, Warnings of a U.S, economic recession have been rife for months, but the greater risk could be that of a corporate trough on Wall Street first, Expectations for first-quarter earnings per share on the S&P500 have gone negative, and average thor hammer mjolnir cufflinks estimates are for a 0.3 percent year-on-year decline, according to I/B/E/S Refinitiv, That’s a big markdown from October forecasts of 8.2 percent and would be the first earnings contraction in three years..

Gloom is deep on the other side of the Atlantic too, with European earnings growth seen at the slowest rate in 18 months. For the S&P500, Q2 still indicates a tentative return to growth. That would allow Wall Street to avoid technical recession — typically two consecutive quarters of decline. And analysts still project 4.2 percent full-year earnings growth. U.S. comparisons with previous quarters are of course skewed by President Donald Trump’s generous tax breaks, which handed companies a big windfall in early 2018 but have now expired.

The swift pace and depth of cuts to estimates are raising concerns this may be the start of a trend, as companies struggle with margin squeezes and debt, After all, as recently as December, Q1 earnings were seen expanding by 5.3 percent, Graphic: US earnings growth estimates over time Feb 15 (tmsnrt.rs/2TRqqof), After a torrid 2018, a dovish turn by the U.S, Fed has brought investors back to emerging markets, with JPMorgan, Citi, Fidelity, BlueBay and others thor hammer mjolnir cufflinks upping exposure and advising clients to do so, The result: emerging markets were crowned the most crowded trade by Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s monthly investor survey for the first time on record..

But that accolade has proved a mixed blessing in the past. After all, the only way one can go from the top is down. And those fiscal and geopolitical woes familiar to emerging markets may come back into play: Investors want to see what plans South Africa’s Finance Minister Tito Mboweni might outline in his budget on Wednesday to tackle suffocating debt at state utility Eskom. With power outages haunting the economy, Eskom developments have undermined the rand as well. Another emerging economy, Russia, is reeling under the prospect of new U.S. sanctions. Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan whose policies helped trigger a currency crisis last year, wants to expand a scheme to sell cheap vegetables after March 31 local elections, in a move widely considered financially unsustainable.

Finally Brazil’s new government will put its pension reform bill to Congress, The critical overhaul is seen as a litmus test thor hammer mjolnir cufflinks of the government’s ability to implement reform, Graphic: EM flows - The Institute of International Finance (tmsnrt.rs/2TR6RMQ), Amid signals of weakening U.S, economic momentum, the bright spot is the job market - more than 300,000 jobs were created to kick off the New Year, But one labor market measure is showing cracks: first-time claims for unemployment benefits, A month ago, initial claims were at a 50-year low, but they have moved sharply higher since mid-January, And if the weekly series seems a bit noisy, look at the less-volatile four-week average of claims — these hit the highest in a year in the latest week..

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